Strength of the Economy Is Surprising the Experts
We’re currently in the longest economic recovery in U.S. history. That has caused some to ask experts to project when the next economic slowdown (recession) could occur. Two years ago, 67% of the economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) for the Economic Forecasting Survey predicted we would have a recession no later than the end of this year (2020). The same study done just three months ago showed more than one third of the economists still saw an economic slowdown right around the corner.
The news caused concern among consumers. This is evidenced by a recent survey done by realtor.com that shows 53% of home purchasers (first-time and repeat buyers) currently in the market believe a recession will occur by the end of this year.
Wait! It seems the experts are changing their minds….
Now, in an article earlier this month, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) revealed only 14.3% of those economists now believe we’re in danger of a recession occurring this year (see graph below):The WSJ article strongly stated,
“The U.S. expansion, now in its 11th year, will continue through the 2020 presidential election with a healthy labor market backing it up, economists say.”
This optimism regarding the economy was repeated by others as well.
CNBC, quoting Goldman Sachs economists:
“Just months after almost everyone on Wall Street worried that a recession was just around the corner, Goldman Sachs said a downturn is unlikely over the next several years. In fact, the firm’s economists stopped just short of saying that the U.S. economy is recession-proof.”
“When Barron’s gathers some of Wall Street’s best minds—as we do every January for our annual Roundtable—we expect some consensus, some disagreement…But the 10 veteran investors and economists who convened in New York on Jan. 6 at the Barron’s offices agree that there’s almost no chance of a recession this year.”
“The U.S. economy is heading into 2020 at a pace of steady, sustained growth after a series of interest rate cuts and the apparent resolution of two trade-related threats mostly eliminated the risk of a recession.”
Robert A. Dye, Chief Economist at Comerica Bank:
“I expect that the U.S. economy will avoid a recession in 2020.”
There probably won’t be a recession this year. That’s good news for you, whether you’re looking to buy or sell a home.
We’re in a Sellers’ Market. What Does That Mean?
We’re in a Sellers’ Market. What Does That Mean? Even though activity in the housing market has slowed from the frenzy we saw over a year ago, today’s low supply of homes for sale is still a sellers’ market. But what does that really mean? And why are conditions today...
4 Key Tips for Selling Your House This Spring
4 Key Tips for Selling Your House This Spring Spring has arrived, and that means more and more people are getting their homes ready to sell. But with recent shifts in real estate, this year’s spring housing market will be different from the frenzy of the past several...
Get Ready: The Best Time To List Your House Is Almost Here
Get Ready: The Best Time To List Your House Is Almost Here If you’re thinking about selling this spring, it’s time to get moving – the best week to list your house is fast approaching. Experts at realtor.com looked at seasonal trends from recent years (excluding 2020...
Why Buying a Home Is a Sound Decision
Why Buying a Home Is a Sound Decision If you’re thinking about buying a home, you want to know the decision will be a good one. And for many, that means thinking about what home prices are projected to do in the coming years and how that could impact your investment....
Condos Are a Great Entryway to Homeownership
Condos Are a Great Entryway to Homeownership
2023 Spring Flooding In Utah
2023 Spring Flooding Know flood risks. Check to see if you live in a flood zone or high-risk area (Flood Map/FEMA QR code). Be aware of runoff in streams, drainage channels, ditches, and other waterways near your home. Consider flood insurance. Homeowner policies...
The Role of Access in Selling Your House
The Role of Access in Selling Your House Once you’ve made the decision to sell your house and have hired a real estate agent to help, they’ll ask how much access to your home you want to give potential buyers. Your answer matters more now than it did in recent years....
What’s Ahead for Home Prices in 2023
What’s Ahead for Home Prices in 2023 Over the past year, home prices have been a widely debated topic. Some have said we’ll see a massive drop in prices and that this could be a repeat of 2008 – which hasn’t happened. Others have forecasted a real estate market that...
Here’s Why the Housing Market Isn’t Going To Crash
Here’s Why the Housing Market Isn’t Going To Crash Buy or Sell with Marty Gale "Its The Experience" Principal Broker and Owner of Utah Realty™ Licensed Since 1986 CERTIFIED LUXURY HOME MARKETING SPECIALIST (CLHM) PSA (Pricing Strategy Advisor) General Contractor 2000...
Balancing Your Wants and Needs as a Homebuyer This Spring
Balancing Your Wants and Needs as a Homebuyer This Spring Though there are more homes for sale now than there were at this time last year, there’s still an undersupply with fewer houses available than in more normal, pre-pandemic years. The Monthly Housing Market...