Federal funds rate projected to fall from 3.7% (Q1) to 3.1% (Q4), marking consistent quarterly reductions. Rate adjustments aim to stabilize the economy, setting the stage for long-term equilibrium.

2025 housing market: moderate rise in home sales, stabilized mortgage rates, and slower price increases. All-cash buyers make up 26% of sales, driven by increased homeowner equity.

In October, the combination of rising mortgage rates and high home prices has slowed home sales to a 14-year low.New single-family home sales ↑ 4.1% MoM, signaling potential market recovery.